Wednesday 31 January 2018

The messenger (2) Shift Change 2 (B - C)

The messenger (2) Shift Change 2 (B - C)

Charlotte sat at the mess-room table scrolling through pages on her slate. From time to time she sipped restlessly at a glass of orange-juice sat in front of her. The door opened prompting her to look up at Beatrice as she walked in. Charlotte gestured at the seat opposite her and continues reading pages on her slate.

Beatrice sat down, picked up the mug of coffee from the table and took a long swig. The coffee was tepid and weak, not at all to her taste. She waited for Charlotte to look up again.

C: “Well. It looks like you’ve been having a busy time. Care to tell me about it?”
B: “Sure! Andy spotted a couple of anomalies which I’ve been looking into. Let’s get the standard hand-over out of the way first, and then I’ll show you the fun bits.”
C: “OK. Let’s go through the motions.” She yawns.

For the next 10 minutes or so, Beatrice swiped the pages on her slate, indicating things which were operating normally and pointing out a few parameters which were near the edge of the allowed values. From time to time Charlotte asked questions, but didn’t always seem to pay attention to the answers. Eventually Beatrice reached the end of the standard hand-over report, paused and then continued.

B: “As you know from the log, Andy spotted a couple of anomalies during his shift but you probably don’t know much more than that.”
Charlotte nodded and sipped her orange juice.
B: “You might describe one as external and the other as internal. Neither of them seemed particularly important, so he left them to me to handle.”
C: “Seemed?” and nodded again.
B: “Let’s start with the internal one. You can see that what Andy spotted were these periodic pulses of white noise in the sensor array. Actually he didn’t spot them, the monitoring systems did and drew them to his attention.”
C: “Did he suggest what was causing them?”
B: “No. He left me to find out. Andy noted the regularity of the pulses, but not much else. It’s not surprising that none of us noticed, because they have been at such a low level. He thought they first appeared 48 hours ago. He was mistaken, they’ve been happening for much longer. Look, you can see here.” She indicated something on her slate and Charlotte looked at hers. “The pulses have actually been there for more than a week. I can spot them now, because I have the period and I can tell the systems what to look for.”
C: “Could the pattern be just that, a pattern introduced by the pattern-matching algorithms? Could they be just an artefact of the signal processing which will disappear all-of-a-sudden?”
B: “I considered that possibility, but I don’t think so. Look at this.” She swiped to a new page on her slate. “Not only has the period remained the same, but the intensity of the pulses is increasing, and the width of the pulses is getting longer. The period of the pulses peak to peak has remained the same, but each one takes a longer time.”
C: “Even at the current low level that’s kind-of concerning. Have you developed any theory about what’s causing the pulses?”
B: “No idea what so-ever! The pulses are still too short to get any kind of ‘direction’ on them. They’re probably be internal, originating in the array or in our systems. That would suggest that something is failing. The thing is, neither the systems nor I have identified anything internal which runs at that particular frequency. Conceivably they could be real and be originating outside, but there’s no indication of what is causing them. What makes the situation slightly worse is that I’ve had the systems model the rate of increase. Look here. It’s possible that the rate of increase of both the intensity and the length of the pulses is increasing. That’s a second derivative effect. Not only are the pulses getting stronger, but they may be getting stronger more quickly. It least it should make the cause easier to identify.”

C: “That really would be worrying. Basically we could have an escalating problem which could affect communications and navigation and we don’t know what is causing it.”
B: “Basically that’s it. I’ve sketched out some possible further investigations here. It’s up to you what you do. They’re only suggestions and honestly I’m guessing anyway. At the moment I’ve put the whole thing down to signal processing, our old friend Jupiter or little-green-men. I would be much happier if I knew what the cause was. This combined with the external thing (which I’m coming to) was enough to make me put a short report into Head Office.”

C: “Do you think that was necessary?”
B: “Probably not but it’s what procedures said I was supposed to do. All I’ve sent is the most limited heads-up on both issues. You can look at the text in the message log. It shouldn’t make anyone at the other end panic. Meanwhile, let me show you what’s happening with the external event.” She swiped to a new page. Charlotte looked at a diagram on her slate.
Charlotte nodded again and took a sip from her orange juice.
Beatrice swiped to a new page on her slate and Charlotte looked intently at her’s.
B: “The navigational monitoring systems drew Andy’s attention to this incoming object. Here (she indicates an annotation on the screen) is where he first logged it. Here’s where he handed over to me. For all that time it was nothing more than a moving point and a vector. You can see it is coming it pretty fast. A good bit faster than the average comet anyway.

(Beatrice took a breath)

You can see our course and positions as well. Once we had identified the point it was relatively simple for the systems to project its track, forwards and backwards, on a Newtonian, ballistic basis. Plotted forwards the object presents no risk to anything sun-ward. Plotted backwards you can track it back outside the orbit of Pluto. Andy suggested it might be a dirty snowball which something-or-another had disturbed from way-out-there. With the limited information he had available that was certainly a plausible explanation but the high velocity is more suggestive of something from interstellar space. That would make it something of a rarity.

C: “You ‘that was plausible’ as if something has changed. Has something changed?”
B: “Yes. I was getting to that. We had a bit of luck. If you look here, “ she zoomed the image inwards on a point near the beginning of her shift. “You can see that the incoming object passed sufficiently close to one of the objects out beyond Saturn. There was enough interaction for the systems, mostly me really, to estimate its mass. You can see the estimate here. It’s not very precise but, within the stated limits I’m pretty confident of the value.”

C: ”So we have something pretty big coming it pretty fast but we don’t know what it is.”
B: “That’s about the size of it. Strictly speaking it’s heavy, rather than big. It’s too far out for the sensors to tell us anything about its size and shape, so we can’t have a density yet. Therefore I can’t even hazard a guess about what it’s made of. It could be a big dirty snowball, or a substantially smaller nickel-iron cannonball. Of course, it could be anything in between. There simply isn’t enough information to say anything more.”

C: “Well it’s something else interesting to look at. It will add a little spice to the humdrum of the next hours. Is there anything else?”
B: “Andy identified the point where we could make a course change to rendezvous with the object and, working back from that, where we would need to decide that was what we were going to do. I’ve updated the estimates and the points and times are indicated here and here. And there is one thing more: if you look here, you can see that the object’s path passes directly between us and Neptune. At that point it will still be beyond the range of the active sensors, but if you’re lucky and the sensor array plays nice, then you may be able to use the transit to estimate the overall size of the object, therefore its density and that might allow us to guess what it was made of and influence our decision about whether we want to intercept it.”

C: “That makes sense. It’s worth me making the effort to monitor the transit. If the results indicate that we are dealing with a rather large snowball, then I can make it a lower priority. If it seems to be something smaller and denser then maybe our luck is in. Good call!”

B: “OK. Thanks. That’s all. You have control.” She presses her thumb to her slate.
C: “I have control.” She presses her thumb to her slate and nods.
B: “I’m off for a shower. Have you got the wine for the pub night sorted?“
C: “Yup. Premier Grand Cru Synth for the red and a cheeky little Chardonnay for the white.”
B: “Could you rustle up some Prosciutto as well? I fancy some of that.”
C: “I’ll see what I can do.”

B: “See you there. Have a good one.” Beatrice leaves.

Saturday 27 January 2018

The Messenger (0) – Prologue (1) - Shift Change (A-B)

The Messenger (0) – Prologue

You cannot imagine the cold; cold so intense that it numbs all the senses. You cannot imagine the darkness; darkness pierced only by starlight or completely impenetrable. You cannot sympathise with the solitude. To be alone for so long that even the measurement of time has been adjusted to make its passing more bearable.

You are not aware there is anything here. You are being observed: slowly, impassively and efficiently.

You are on your way. Interaction is inevitable. All probable variations have been assessed and factored into the tactical plans.

You will not deviate from your current course. You are not aware of my presence. I am coming.

The messenger (1) Shift Change 1 (A - B)

Andy placed a mug of black coffee on the mess-room table and then returned to the galley to pick up his own mug of Earl Grey. He placed his mug on the table, sat, leaned back in his chair, took the slate from the pocket on his right thigh and began to swipe listlessly through the pages. Satisfied with what he saw, he put the slate down on the table, picked up his tea, took a small sip and breathed out slowly.

The door slid open and Beatrice rushed into the room. She brushed her hair from her eyes and sat down with a bump opposite Andy.

B: “Sorry I’m late. I over-slept. Thanks for the coffee.” She took a deep swig from the mug.

B: “Nice! Is it real java?” She asked with a wink, taking out her own slate and laying it on the table in front of her.

A: “Naturally! It’s real, synthetic java. The menu item even describes it as “java-style”. I thought you would enjoy it. Shall we get down to it?” He said, picking up his slate.

For the next 5 minutes Beatrice and Andy worked their way through reports on the slates. Andy led the way, indicating that most things were within the prescribed limits, pointing out the few where some value had drifted into “the amber zone” and indicating some values where a trend might be developing. It was all very calm, matter-of-fact and business-like.

A: “That’s it really.” concluded Andy. “It was another uneventful watch. Except that I’ve kept back two potentially interesting bits till the end.”

B: “Oo! Do tell!” said Beatrice, looking down at her slate again.

A: Andy swiped his slated with a finger and nodded to Beatrice to look down. “Here they are. There are two unrelated things for you to look into. One’s internal, and one’s external”.

Beatrice nodded.

A: “I’ll start with the internal. At least I suppose it’s internal. You can see it here.” Andy jabbed at the screen on his slate. “One of the monitoring programs has spotted this disturbance in the sensor arrays. There are repeated pulses of what you might describe as ‘white noise’ or interference. Each one is very short duration and they don’t cause any problems but they’re very regular.”

B: Beatrice nodded again. “I can see what you mean. Fraction-of-a second pulse, happens every 5 to 6 minutes. What’s causing it?”

A: “That’s the point Beattie. I have no idea what might be causing it. The standard monitoring programs drew it to my attention but I didn’t get round to running more detailed diagnostics. What is striking is how regular the pulses are. Peak to peak they are every 5 minutes 32 seconds and they have been since they first appeared about 48 hours ago. The only thing that has changed over that period is the intensity of the spikes. They’re slowly getting stronger and the duration of the pulses is getting slightly longer.”

B: “I see. The increasing intensity explains why you’re the first to have noticed them. They were below the alert threshold for most of that time. It’s only recently that the systems have drawn them to your attention. The regularity suggests something in one of the systems may have a problem and the increasing intensity suggest that, whatever it is, it is getting worse. I shall set something to look into that. We want to nip it in the bud if we can. What’s the external nugget?”

A: “Here it is. Look we have a visitor.”

B: “Oo! That is nice. Any problems?”

A: “Not that I can see. The systems spotted it towards the beginning of my shift. It’s too early to tell much about it, except that it is coming in at a fair lick. It crosses our track ahead of us here, ”  he jabbed the screen. “and the projections show there’s no risk of it hitting anything further in. At the moment we can’t estimate: mass, shape, composition or anything much at all really, except that it’s travelling pretty fast. At the moment it’s simply a point and a vector. The first real information will become available on your watch.”

B: “Hmm. I see. So you don’t know if there’s anything in it for us?”

A: “Not a clue. Like I said, at the moment it’s just a point and a vector, nothing else. There hasn’t been anything worthwhile for ages. Knowing our luck, that will continue and it’s just another boring dirty snowball from the outskirts.”

B: “Could we intercept it?”

A: “Ever the optimist, aren’t you? Me too. I got navigation to put in some check-points. You can see them on the chart. If we put in a course correction here (that would be on Davey’s watch) we could catch up and be running parallel with it about here, when I’m back in charge, without expending too many resources. To do that sensibly, we should really make the decision about here, on Charlie’s trick.”

B: “So it’s down to me then. I might make us ri   ch. I’ll give it my attention but I’ll look into the ‘white noise’ as well. We don’t want that getting out of hand. Is that it?”

A: “Yes. That’s it. You have control” He pressed his thumb onto the screen of his slate.
B: Beatrice copied the gesture on her tablet. “I have control.”

A: “I’m off to bed. Have quiet shift, sort out the ‘white noise’ and find us a nickel-iron asteroid with a good dose of precious metals, a smidgen of transuranics and a sprinkling of diamonds. Make us rich. No pressure.” Andy pushed his empty mug into the centre of the table, put his slate back into its pocket and pushed back his chair.

B: “No. No pressure at all. We do miracles while you wait, just another day at the office. Have a good night.

A: As he reached the door, Andy turned back “Are you planning to go to the pub night at the end of the week? Do you know what the menu is?”

B: Beatrice looked up from her slate and looked back towards him. “Yes. I thought I might. I haven’t got anything else on.” She winked. “I think it’s wine this time round. Charlie’s making the arrangements. It’s something to look forward to.”


A: “OK. See you there, if not before. Have a good one”